Bipolar dysfunction is characterised by typically recurrent episodes of mania and despair. Mania is the defining function of bipolar dysfunction. The core signs of mania are uncommon and protracted elated, elevated or irritable temper and power, plus additional signs together with elevated shallowness and grandiosity, decreased want for sleep, speaking extra, having a lot of concepts and racing ideas, being simply distracted, and extreme involvement in goal-directed and/or probably dangerous actions. Signs of hypomania are comparable, however they don’t have as a lot of a extreme affect and final not more than 4 days in comparison with a minimal of seven for mania.
Temper episodes don’t come from nowhere, however we don’t totally perceive how we are able to predict them with the intention to help folks promptly and successfully. In between episodes, there are nonetheless highs and lows, or ups and downs, in temper, power, and different signs together with sleep. The tipping level of when these adjustments point out an oncoming episode is a vital space of analysis as a result of figuring out early warning indicators is part of remedy for bipolar. Instability in sleep and exercise are key triggers and early warning indicators (Lobban et al., 2011), making them essential targets for remedy (Harvey et al., 2015).
Wearable applied sciences are more and more used for monitoring threat components and signs in folks with psychological well being difficulties. These usually are not too invasive and may enhance way of life behaviours, as previously blogged here.
A latest paper (Ortiz et al., 2025) investigated whether or not digitally monitored adjustments to sleep and exercise are early indicators of hypomania, and which was the earliest indicator.
Strategies
164 folks in search of therapy for bipolar dysfunction I or II had been adopted over one yr. They rated their very own temper utilizing self-report measures of manic and depressive signs each week. This additionally allowed evaluation of whether or not or not a participant had met standards for a clinically vital hypomanic episode at any level within the examine. A wearable system (an Oura ring) mechanically recorded sleep and exercise in day-to-day life. This included sleep patterns, how lengthy they slept for, how lengthy it took them to go to sleep, and the power they used.
Outcomes
- 50 members skilled a manic episode sooner or later throughout the one-year examine.
- Modifications to 12-hour sleep variability was the strongest detector of a manic episode.
- When particular manic signs, adjustments to 12-hour variability in exercise was the earliest indicator of elevated exercise (e.g., “I’ve ceaselessly been extra lively than ordinary” or “I’m always lively or on the go always.”)
- Modifications to day-to-day sleep variability carried out effectively at predicting the manic symptom of decreased want for sleep. These adjustments may predict an oncoming manic episode as much as three days beforehand.
- The sensitivity of sleep and exercise adjustments in predicting subsequent mania decreased because the timeframe of variability widened (e.g., over 12 hours was higher than over one week).
Conclusions
Sleep and exercise adjustments precede hypomanic episodes by round three days so could possibly be an early indicator for folks with bipolar dysfunction to observe. The transition to a temper episode can occur fairly rapidly, so fine-grained monitoring of sleep, exercise and temper is worth it.
Strengths and limitations
This examine aimed to handle limitations of prior analysis through the use of a novel wearable system to trace sleep and exercise. A yr is a very long time, so it’s nice to see this examine lasting this lengthy. It’s uncommon to have information on sleep and exercise for that length, alongside self-assessments of temper. There was a mixture of subjective information (measures that members accomplished themselves) and goal information (from the wearable system).
There have been many information factors and information factors matter right here for figuring out traits and patterns over time. Knowledge was explored for variability slightly than absolute change or averaged scores. This offers extra fine-grained info and is extra like how issues are within the real-world.
The measure of (hypo)manic signs used to observe signs and establish hypomanic episodes is broadly utilized in analysis in addition to medical settings, that means comparisons could be made to different analysis and it has actual world applicability.
Folks with comorbid sleep issues had been eligible to participate on this examine sleep patterns, but sleep instability could also be extra doubtless in folks with sleep issues. Nevertheless, no comorbidities had been assessed or managed for, and comorbidity is the norm slightly than the exception in bipolar dysfunction, so this doubtless provides a extra sensible image.
The authors state that not controlling for demographic background is a limitation. There are all the time biases in analysis, for instance particular folks may determine to participate who may differ from those that decline to participate or don’t hear in regards to the alternative to take action. Not controlling for demographics could make it troublesome to say what impact this may need had. The pattern had been largely working or learning, and well-educated. This isn’t uncommon for bipolar dysfunction, however it’s potential that this pattern could possibly be seen as significantly ‘excessive functioning’. As the present pattern had been at the moment therapy in search of, alongside being in work or schooling, it’s potential that folks experiencing extra social exclusion weren’t represented. Additionally, a wearable includes being digitally engaged and the system would even be noticeable. Some folks may need been delay for worry of stigma if folks requested why they had been carrying it.
There are all the time biases with the self-report of temper, and a few proof that folks with bipolar dysfunction discover the particular measure of manic signs used troublesome for temper monitoring, preferring to create their very own questions as reported in this blog. Whereas distant temper monitoring reveals promise, it is probably not acceptable to all: “folks with bipolar are monitoring signs of temper fluctuation way more particularly and creatively than conventional temper monitoring scales can.” Temper monitoring may also be unhelpful for some folks with bipolar dysfunction (Palmier-Claus et al., 2021), so it might be fascinating to know extra about how members really felt about self-monitoring for a yr. Did it maybe create a worry of relapse or sense of hypervigilance, or was it discovered to be useful?
With the present information, I puzzled why not take a look at variability in temper as effectively, because the temper instability skilled between temper episodes additionally have an effect on day-to-day functioning. With the weekly scores, this was potential. Signs aside from sleep or exercise adjustments may be early indicators of relapse right into a hypomanic episode. An method akin to ecological momentary evaluation of temper may have been inbuilt to enrich the fine-grained information on sleep and exercise, though would have brought about extra of a burden on members for engagement with digital know-how.
Implications for observe
A wearable system, such because the Oura ring, could possibly be helpful in observe for sharing with psychological well being professionals, and in day-to-day life for self-monitoring. So given indications that sleep and exercise are early warning indicators, this could possibly be a really useful medical instrument.
Whereas solely utilizing self-report for temper has biases, the method presents actual world applicability as weekly appointments for clinician scores wouldn’t be potential. The platform used to gather this information could possibly be linked to psychological well being professionals.
Nevertheless, such approaches should be handled with warning (Depp et al., 2016). These carrying them should be given info to assist them to interpret early warnings, and crucially, to know what to do i.e., coping methods. As above, that is additionally true of temper monitoring (Palmier-Claus et al., 2021). These approaches could possibly be embedded in present psychological interventions targeted on early warning indicators, the place there can be help and steerage from a clinician in methods to interpret and reply to temper and exercise adjustments (Palmier-Claus et al., 2021).
There are additionally moral questions round distant monitoring and the place the knowledge goes and the way it’s utilized by psychological well being professionals and providers. Alongside additional work on their effectiveness for monitoring adjustments that could possibly be early warning indicators of a temper episode, there’s a want to achieve the views of individuals with lived expertise across the obstacles and enablers to carrying gadgets such because the Oura ring and monitoring their temper, and probably sharing this with psychological well being professionals concerned of their care.

Temper monitoring could possibly be built-in into medical care with steerage on methods to interpret and reply to temper and exercise adjustments
Hyperlinks
Major paper
Ortiz, A., Halabi, R., Alda, M., Burgos, A., DeShaw, A., Gonzalez-Torres, C., … & Mulsant, B. H. (2025). Day-to-day variability in sleep and exercise predict the onset of a hypomanic episode in sufferers with bipolar dysfunction. Journal of Affective Issues, 374, 75-83. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2025.01.026
Different references
Depp, C., Torous, J., & Thompson, W. (2016). Know-how-based early warning programs for bipolar dysfunction: a conceptual framework. JMIR Psychological Well being, 3(3), e5798. https://mental.jmir.org/2016/3/e42/).
Harvey, A. G., Kaplan, Okay. A., & Soehner, A. (2015). Interventions for sleep disturbance in bipolar dysfunction. Sleep drugs clinics, 10(1), 101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsmc.2014.11.005
Levrat, V., Favre, S., & Richard-Lepouriel, H. (2024). Present practices of psychoeducation interventions with individuals with bipolar issues: a literature overview. Frontiers in Psychiatry, 14, 1320654. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyt.2023.1320654
Lobban, F., Solis-Trapala, I., Symes, W., Morriss, R., & ERP Group. (2011). Early warning indicators checklists for relapse in bipolar despair and mania: utility, reliability and validity. Journal of Affective Issues, 133(3), 413-422. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2011.04.026
Palmier-Claus, J., Lobban, F., Mansell, W., Jones, S., Tyler, E., Lodge, C., … & Wright, Okay. (2021). Temper monitoring in bipolar dysfunction: Is it all the time useful?. Bipolar Issues, 23(4), 429-231. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33570820/